Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC)Industree Group Stadium, Gosford
The Footlab AI model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1. If Western Sydney Wanderers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
On Elo ratings, Central Coast Mariners has 1,647 points and Western Sydney Wanderers 1,718.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Central Coast Mariners
4-4-2- 9O. Lavale
- 37B. Brandtman
- 72A. Auglah
- 8C. Donnell
- 6H. Eames
- 39A. Bolton
- 5L. Mauragis
- 12Noah McCann
- 3Samuel Dikoš
- 15S. Roux
- 30A. Redmayne
Western Sydney Wanderers
4-2-3-1- 26B. Borello
- 32A. Thurgate
- 8Dylan Scicluna
- 21L. Gillion
- 10M. Di Pizio
- 14N. Milanovic
- 33G. Ferreyra
- 36P. Madanha
- 17J. Carluccio
- 24N. Barrie
- 20L. Thomas
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Coast Mariners have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Western Sydney Wanderers have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-4 | A-League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(away) | 0-2 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(home) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Melbourne City(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Macarthur(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Auckland(home) | 5-2 | A-League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Central Coast Mariners wins, 0 draws, 2 Western Sydney Wanderers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners 3-2 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 3-2 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 0-4 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Coast Mariners score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Coast Mariners sit 11th in A-League (2 points from 4 matches) and Western Sydney Wanderers sit 6th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
A question about Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers played?
- Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers is played on January 8, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at Industree Group Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.