Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 10:45 AM (UTC)HBF Park, Perth
The Footlab AI model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1. If Perth Glory wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Perth Glory (1,692) and Central Coast Mariners (1,723).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Perth Glory
4-1-4-1- 22A. Taggart
- 13H. Hore
- 16Lucas Scicluna
- 7N. Pennington
- 27W. Freney
- 9J. Kucharski
- 45B. Kaltak
- 24A. Lebib
- 4S. Wootton
- 3S. Sutton
- 33M. Sutton
Central Coast Mariners
4-2-3-1- 22A. De Lima
- 72A. Auglah
- 9O. Lavale
- 8C. Donnell
- 37B. Brandtman
- 41Shumba Mutokoyi
- 5L. Mauragis
- 15S. Roux
- 12Noah McCann
- 26B. Tapp
- 30A. Redmayne
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perth Glory have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Central Coast Mariners have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Perth Glory wins, 2 draws, 2 Central Coast Mariners wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Perth Glory 3-0 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Perth Glory 0-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| May 13, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 2-3 Perth Glory | Australia Cup |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 3-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Perth Glory 1-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Perth Glory score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Central Coast Mariners score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perth Glory sit 10th in A-League (31 points from 26 matches) and Central Coast Mariners sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
A question about Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners?
- The Footlab AI model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners played?
- Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners is played on January 16, 2027 at 10:45 AM (UTC) at HBF Park, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.