Newcastle Jets vs Auckland: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC)McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Newcastle Jets. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auckland wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,993 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Auckland?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Newcastle Jets (1,845) and Auckland (1,889).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle Jets vs Auckland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 8P. Wood
- 14M. Burgess
- 28W. Dobson
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 11J. Lolley
- 27J. Recchia
- 23D. Wilmering
- 5J. Shaughnessy
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 1J. Delianov
Auckland
4-2-3-1- 9S. Cosgrove
- 27L. Rogerson
- 77L. Brook
- 10L. Bayliss
- 22J. Brimmer
- 8F. Gallegos
- 2H. Sakai
- 4N. Pijnaker
- 15F. de Vries
- 25L. Vicelich
- 1M. Woud
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 07:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle Jets have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Auckland have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-7 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-3 | Australia Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Newcastle Jets wins, 1 draw, 2 Auckland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Newcastle Jets 1-2 Auckland | A-League |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Auckland 1-3 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Auckland 1-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 1-1 Auckland | A-League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Auckland 2-0 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle Jets vs Auckland on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle Jets score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Auckland score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Auckland | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle Jets sit 5th in A-League (1 point from 1 match) and Auckland sit 1st (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Newcastle Jets vs Auckland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle Jets vs Auckland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Newcastle Jets.
- Where and when is Newcastle Jets vs Auckland played?
- Newcastle Jets vs Auckland is played on January 9, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at McDonald Jones Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.