Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Independiente: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 8Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alfredo Terrera, Santiago del Estero, Provincia de Santiago del Est
The Footlab model makes Independiente the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Central Cordoba de Santiago. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Independiente?
Independiente starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Cordoba de Santiago have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Independiente have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 4, 2026 | San Lorenzo(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(home) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Lanus(away) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 0-4 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Platense(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Central Cordoba de Santiago win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Independiente win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Independiente 2-0 Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Independiente 2-0 Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Independiente 0-0 Central Cordoba de Santiago | Copa Argentina |
| Jul 17, 2023 | Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-1 Independiente | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 6, 2022 | Independiente 1-2 Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Independiente 1-1 Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Independiente vs Central Cordoba de Santiago on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Cordoba de Santiago score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba de Santiago | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Independiente | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Cordoba de Santiago sit 13th in Liga Profesional Argentina (16 points from 16 matches) and Independiente sit 5th (24 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Independiente | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 24 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Independiente?
- The Footlab model makes Independiente the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Central Cordoba de Santiago.
- Where and when is Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Independiente played?
- Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Independiente is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alfredo Terrera, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 6, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsTigre
- Sep 6, 2026River PlatevsIndepend. Rivadavia
- Sep 6, 2026Racing ClubvsAtletico Tucuman
- Sep 6, 2026Rosario CentralvsNewells Old Boys
- Sep 6, 2026Velez SarsfieldvsEstudiantes L.P.
- Sep 6, 2026Belgrano CordobavsHuracan
- Sep 6, 2026Union Santa FevsInstituto Cordoba
- Sep 6, 2026LanusvsDefensa Y Justicia