Where and when is Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre played?

Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 8Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Gimnasia L.P.

Tigre

The Footlab model makes Gimnasia L.P. the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Tigre. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Gimnasia L.P. (1,879) and Tigre (1,870).

Gimnasia L.P. win39 %

Draw30 %

Tigre win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia L.P. have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Tigre have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnasia L.P.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gimnasia M.(home)	2-3	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 18, 2026	Deportivo Riestra(away)	1-1	Copa Argentina
Aug 15, 2026	Estudiantes L.P.(away)	0-4	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 9, 2026	Barracas Central(home)	2-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 2, 2026	Aldosivi(away)	2-1	Liga Profesional Argentina

Tigre
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Atletico Torque(away)	1-2	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 15, 2026	Aldosivi(away)	0-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 12, 2026	Atletico Torque(home)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 8, 2026	River Plate(home)	1-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 6, 2026	Belgrano Cordoba(home)	0-0	Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gimnasia L.P. win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Tigre win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 2, 2026	Tigre 2-2 Gimnasia L.P.	Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 14, 2024	Tigre 1-1 Gimnasia L.P.	Liga Profesional Argentina
Apr 29, 2023	Gimnasia L.P. 1-1 Tigre	Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 25, 2022	Gimnasia L.P. 0-1 Tigre	Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 1, 2019	Gimnasia L.P. 3-1 Tigre	Liga Profesional Argentina
Apr 6, 2018	Tigre 2-0 Gimnasia L.P.	Liga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Tigre vs Gimnasia L.P. on Mar 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnasia L.P. score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tigre score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gimnasia L.P.	1.5	1.0	7	6/15	7/15
Tigre	1.1	0.8	6	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gimnasia L.P. sit 6th in Liga Profesional Argentina (26 points from 16 matches) and Tigre sit 10th (20 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	19	19	26
7	Gimnasia L.P.	6	3	0	3	8	10	9
8	Tigre	5	2	2	1	4	2	8
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18	15	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre?: The Footlab model makes Gimnasia L.P. the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Tigre.
Where and when is Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre played?: Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.