Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 8Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto, Ciudad de Río Cuarto, Provincia de Córdoba
The Footlab model makes Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Sarmiento Junin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (1,741) and Sarmiento Junin (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Sarmiento Junin have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(away) | 0-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tigre(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Huracan(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Banfield(away) | 2-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(home) | 2-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sarmiento Junin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin 1-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-1 Sarmiento Junin | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto score 0.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sarmiento Junin score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Sarmiento Junin | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto sit 15th in Liga Profesional Argentina (5 points from 16 matches) and Sarmiento Junin sit 11th (19 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sarmiento Junin | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 19 |
| 13 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
- The Footlab model makes Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Sarmiento Junin.
- Where and when is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin played?
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 6, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsTigre
- Sep 6, 2026River PlatevsIndepend. Rivadavia
- Sep 6, 2026Racing ClubvsAtletico Tucuman
- Sep 6, 2026Rosario CentralvsNewells Old Boys
- Sep 6, 2026Velez SarsfieldvsEstudiantes L.P.
- Sep 6, 2026Belgrano CordobavsHuracan
- Sep 6, 2026Union Santa FevsInstituto Cordoba
- Sep 6, 2026LanusvsDefensa Y Justicia