Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alfredo Terrera, Santiago del Estero, Provincia de Santiago del Est
The Footlab model makes Velez Sarsfield the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Central Cordoba de Santiago. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield?
Velez Sarsfield starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Cordoba de Santiago have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Velez Sarsfield have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 4, 2026 | San Lorenzo(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(home) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boca Juniors(away) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Independiente(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba(away) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Central Cordoba de Santiago win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Velez Sarsfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Central Cordoba de Santiago | Super Copa |
| Dec 12, 2024 | Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Central Cordoba de Santiago | Copa Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-2 Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Velez Sarsfield 4-0 Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Velez Sarsfield 3-1 Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Velez Sarsfield vs Central Cordoba de Santiago on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Cordoba de Santiago score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Velez Sarsfield score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba de Santiago | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Velez Sarsfield | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Cordoba de Santiago sit 13th in Liga Profesional Argentina (16 points from 16 matches) and Velez Sarsfield sit 3rd (28 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield?
- The Footlab model makes Velez Sarsfield the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Central Cordoba de Santiago.
- Where and when is Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield played?
- Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alfredo Terrera, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 25, 2026River PlatevsRacing Club
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- Oct 25, 2026Union Santa FevsEstudiantes L.P.
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