Gimnasia M. vs Platense: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie, Mendoza, Provincia de Mendoza
The Footlab model makes Gimnasia M. the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Platense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Gimnasia M. (1,862) and Platense (1,813).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia M. have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Platense have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(away) | 3-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 28, 2026 | San Lorenzo(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barracas Central(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gimnasia M. win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Platense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Platense 1-1 Gimnasia M. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Gimnasia M. 0-3 Platense | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Platense vs Gimnasia M. on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnasia M. score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Platense score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia M. | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Platense | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnasia M. sit 11th in Liga Profesional Argentina (19 points from 16 matches) and Platense sit 12th (16 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gimnasia M. | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Platense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnasia M. the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Platense.
- Where and when is Gimnasia M. vs Platense played?
- Gimnasia M. vs Platense is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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