San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes San Lorenzo the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Newells Old Boys. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate San Lorenzo (1,833) and Newells Old Boys (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Lorenzo have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Newells Old Boys have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Huracan(home) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 2-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 San Lorenzo win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Newells Old Boys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Newells Old Boys 0-0 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 27, 2024 | San Lorenzo 1-1 Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 4, 2024 | Newells Old Boys 2-2 San Lorenzo | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Oct 7, 2023 | San Lorenzo 0-3 Newells Old Boys | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Mar 20, 2023 | Newells Old Boys 1-0 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Newells Old Boys 0-0 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Lorenzo score 0.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Newells Old Boys score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | 0.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Newells Old Boys | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Lorenzo sit 7th in Liga Profesional Argentina (22 points from 16 matches) and Newells Old Boys sit 14th (15 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Newells Old Boys | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 22 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
- The Footlab model makes San Lorenzo the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Newells Old Boys.
- Where and when is San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys played?
- San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsSarmiento Junin
- Oct 25, 2026River PlatevsRacing Club
- Oct 25, 2026Rosario CentralvsHuracan
- Oct 25, 2026Union Santa FevsEstudiantes L.P.
- Oct 25, 2026BanfieldvsLanus
- Oct 25, 2026TigrevsAtletico Tucuman
- Oct 25, 2026IndependientevsBoca Juniors
- Oct 25, 2026Talleres CordobavsDefensa Y Justicia