Match

San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

San LorenzoNewells Old Boys

The Footlab AI model makes Newells Old Boys the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for San Lorenzo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newells Old Boys wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate San Lorenzo (1,857) and Newells Old Boys (1,864).

31%31%38%
San Lorenzo winDrawNewells Old Boys win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

San Lorenzo

3-4-1-2
  1. 9A. Cuello
  2. 29R. Auzmendi
  1. 24N. Tripichio
  2. 38F. Farías
  3. 5I. Perruzzi
  4. 6M. de Ritis
  5. 8M. Insaurralde
  1. 2D. Arboleda
  2. 16G. Corujo
  3. 19E. Amor
  1. 25J. Devecchi

Newells Old Boys

4-2-3-1
  1. 9M. Cóccaro
  1. 7W. Mazzantti
  2. 5L. Regiardo
  3. 20Facundo Gauch
  4. 26R. Herrera
  5. 32S. Solari
  1. 17L. Gianetti
  2. 6M. Ortega
  3. 16L. Carrizo
  4. 28J. Russo
  1. 30J. Reinatti

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:25 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Lorenzo have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Newells Old Boys have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Lorenzo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Defensa Y Justicia(away)0-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 20, 2026Boca Juniors(home)0-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 13, 2026Independiente(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 5, 2026Talleres Cordoba(home)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 1, 2026Instituto Cordoba(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Newells Old Boys
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Lanus(home)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 20, 2026Platense(away)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 11, 2026Velez Sarsfield(home)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 6, 2026Rosario Central(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 31, 2026Estudiantes L.P.(away)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 San Lorenzo wins, 4 draws, 2 Newells Old Boys wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Newells Old Boys 0-0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
Jul 27, 2024San Lorenzo 1-1 Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
Mar 4, 2024Newells Old Boys 2-2 San LorenzoCopa de la Liga Profesional
Oct 7, 2023San Lorenzo 0-3 Newells Old BoysCopa de la Liga Profesional
Mar 20, 2023Newells Old Boys 1-0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
Jun 9, 2022Newells Old Boys 0-0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Lorenzo score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Newells Old Boys score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Lorenzo0.51.144/152/15
Newells Old Boys1.10.868/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Lorenzo sit 12th in Liga Profesional Argentina (11 points from 11 matches) and Newells Old Boys sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Newells Old Boys1145211817
12San Lorenzo1132641111

A question about San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
The Footlab AI model makes Newells Old Boys the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for San Lorenzo.
Where and when is San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys played?
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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