Where and when is Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron played?

Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron is played on August 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, Salta, Provincia de Salta

Central Norte

Deportivo Moron

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Central Norte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron?

Deportivo Moron starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,695).

Central Norte win30 %

Draw29 %

Deportivo Moron win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Norte have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Moron have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Central Norte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	CA Estudiantes(home)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 10, 2026	All Boys(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Los Andes(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Godoy Cruz(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional

Deportivo Moron
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	San Telmo(away)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Almagro(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Acassuso(home)	4-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Chaco For Ever(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Ferro Carril Oeste(home)	4-0	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Central Norte win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Moron win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Deportivo Moron 2-0 Central Norte	Primera Nacional
Jun 22, 2025	Central Norte 0-0 Deportivo Moron	Primera Nacional
Feb 16, 2025	Deportivo Moron 2-0 Central Norte	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Central Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Moron score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Central Norte	0.9	1.2	4	9/15	6/15
Deportivo Moron	1.7	1.0	5	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Central Norte sit 13th in Primera Nacional (27 points from 25 matches) and Deportivo Moron sit 2nd (45 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Deportivo Moron	25	13	6	6	41	24	45
13	Central Norte	25	6	9	10	17	25	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron?: The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Central Norte.
Where and when is Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron played?: Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron is played on August 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.