Match

Central Norte vs Almirante Brown: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, Salta, Provincia de Salta

Central NorteAlmirante Brown

The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Central Norte. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Central Norte vs Almirante Brown?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Central Norte (1,695) and Almirante Brown (1,768).

Central Norte win30 %
Draw34 %
Almirante Brown win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Norte have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Almirante Brown have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Central Norte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026CA Estudiantes(home)2-1Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)0-0Primera Nacional
Aug 10, 2026All Boys(away)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Los Andes(home)1-0Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Godoy Cruz(away)1-2Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Defensores De Belgrano(away)2-0Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026Tristan Suarez(away)1-3Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026Ciudad de Bolívar(home)2-0Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Racing Cordoba(home)2-0Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Atletico Mitre(away)0-0Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Central Norte win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Almirante Brown win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Almirante Brown 1-0 Central NortePrimera Nacional
Aug 10, 2025Almirante Brown 0-0 Central NortePrimera Nacional
Apr 6, 2025Central Norte 2-1 Almirante BrownPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Almirante Brown vs Central Norte on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Central Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Almirante Brown score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Central Norte0.91.249/156/15
Almirante Brown0.90.594/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Central Norte sit 13th in Primera Nacional (27 points from 25 matches) and Almirante Brown sit 4th (41 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Almirante Brown261187221641
13Central Norte256910172527

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Central Norte vs Almirante Brown?
The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Central Norte.
Where and when is Central Norte vs Almirante Brown played?
Central Norte vs Almirante Brown is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Central Norte and Almirante Brown

Ready to know everything about football?