Central Norte vs Almirante Brown: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, Salta, Provincia de Salta
The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Central Norte. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central Norte vs Almirante Brown?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Central Norte (1,695) and Almirante Brown (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Norte have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Almirante Brown have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | All Boys(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Los Andes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(away) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Central Norte win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Almirante Brown win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Almirante Brown 1-0 Central Norte | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Almirante Brown 0-0 Central Norte | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Central Norte 2-1 Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Almirante Brown vs Central Norte on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Almirante Brown score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Norte | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Almirante Brown | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Norte sit 13th in Primera Nacional (27 points from 25 matches) and Almirante Brown sit 4th (41 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 16 | 41 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central Norte vs Almirante Brown?
- The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Central Norte.
- Where and when is Central Norte vs Almirante Brown played?
- Central Norte vs Almirante Brown is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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