Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López, Ciudad de Santa Fe, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo Moron. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Colon Santa Fe (1,781) and Deportivo Moron (1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colon Santa Fe have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Deportivo Moron have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Telmo(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Acassuso(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | San Telmo(away) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Almagro(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Acassuso(home) | 4-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste(home) | 4-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colon Santa Fe win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Moron win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Deportivo Moron 2-0 Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Colon Santa Fe 0-0 Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Deportivo Moron 1-0 Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Colon Santa Fe 1-0 Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Deportivo Moron 0-2 Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 21, 2018 | Colon Santa Fe 1-1 Deportivo Moron | Copa Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Moron vs Colon Santa Fe on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colon Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Moron score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colon Santa Fe | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Deportivo Moron | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colon Santa Fe sit 3rd in Primera Nacional (45 points from 26 matches) and Deportivo Moron sit 2nd (45 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron?
- The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo Moron.
- Where and when is Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron played?
- Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026TemperleyvsColegiales
- Aug 29, 2026San Martin S.J.vsMidland
- Aug 29, 2026AgropecuariovsAtletico DE Rafaela
- Aug 29, 2026Ferro Carril OestevsAtletico Mitre
- Aug 29, 2026AlmagrovsGimnasia Jujuy
- Aug 29, 2026Nueva ChicagovsQuilmes
- Aug 29, 2026Defensores De BelgranovsRacing Cordoba
- Aug 29, 2026Chacarita JuniorsvsAtlanta