Cercle Brugge vs OH Leuven: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cercle Brugge vs OH Leuven?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Cercle Brugge (1,892) and OH Leuven (1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cercle Brugge have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; OH Leuven have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reims(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 1-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cercle Brugge win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 OH Leuven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | OH Leuven 0-2 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Cercle Brugge 1-2 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Cercle Brugge 1-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | OH Leuven 1-1 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | OH Leuven 1-2 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Cercle Brugge 3-2 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge on Dec 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cercle Brugge score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; OH Leuven score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| OH Leuven | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cercle Brugge sit 13th in Jupiler Pro League (2 points from 3 matches) and OH Leuven sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cercle Brugge vs OH Leuven?
- The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is Cercle Brugge vs OH Leuven played?
- Cercle Brugge vs OH Leuven is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Breydelstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.