OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate OH Leuven (1,832) and Cercle Brugge (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OH Leuven have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Cercle Brugge have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 1-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reims(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 OH Leuven win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Cercle Brugge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | OH Leuven 0-2 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Cercle Brugge 1-2 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Cercle Brugge 1-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | OH Leuven 1-1 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | OH Leuven 1-2 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Cercle Brugge 3-2 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge on Dec 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
OH Leuven score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cercle Brugge score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Cercle Brugge | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OH Leuven sit 17th in Jupiler Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Cercle Brugge sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cercle Brugge | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge?
- The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge played?
- OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.