KVC Westerlo vs KV Mechelen: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Het Kuipje, Westerlo
The Footlab model makes KVC Westerlo the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KVC Westerlo vs KV Mechelen?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate KVC Westerlo (1,849) and KV Mechelen (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KVC Westerlo have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; KV Mechelen have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 0-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Genk(away) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-5 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 KVC Westerlo win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 KV Mechelen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | KV Mechelen 1-1 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | KVC Westerlo 0-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | KVC Westerlo 2-2 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 22, 2025 | KV Mechelen 2-3 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 20, 2024 | KVC Westerlo 1-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | KV Mechelen 2-4 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KVC Westerlo score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KVC Westerlo sit 18th in Jupiler Pro League (0 points from 3 matches) and KV Mechelen sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | KVC Westerlo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KVC Westerlo vs KV Mechelen?
- The Footlab model makes KVC Westerlo the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is KVC Westerlo vs KV Mechelen played?
- KVC Westerlo vs KV Mechelen is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Het Kuipje, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.