Genk vs Union St. Gilloise: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Genk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union St. Gilloise wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Genk vs Union St. Gilloise?
Union St. Gilloise starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (2,273 vs 2,096).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Genk vs Union St. Gilloise
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Genk
4-3-3- 17R. Durosinmi
- 10J. Ito
- 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
- 8B. Heynen
- 4B. Tahirović
- 38D. Heymans
- 20K. Amaro
- 18J. Kayembe
- 44J. Kongolo
- 6M. Smets
- 28L. Kiaba Mounganga
Union St. Gilloise
3-1-4-2- 9M. Biondic
- 38R. Mofokeng
- 27L. Patris
- 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
- 23B. Zeneli
- 6K. Van de Perre
- 28D. Olaru
- 29M. Sylla
- 55N. Havenaar
- 4N. Chibani
- 12H. Koffi
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genk have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Union St. Gilloise have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nijlen(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Genk win, 0 draws, 5 Union St. Gilloise wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Genk 1-2 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 3, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 1-0 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Genk 1-2 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Genk 2-1 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Union St. Gilloise 4-0 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Union St. Gilloise vs Genk on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Genk score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Union St. Gilloise score 2.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Genk sit 7th in Jupiler Pro League (12 points from 8 matches) and Union St. Gilloise sit 4th (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Genk vs Union St. Gilloise?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Genk vs Union St. Gilloise?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Genk.
- Where and when is Genk vs Union St. Gilloise played?
- Genk vs Union St. Gilloise is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.