Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
The Footlab model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Cercle Brugge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise?
Union St. Gilloise starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (2,190 vs 1,892).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cercle Brugge have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Union St. Gilloise have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reims(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 5-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cercle Brugge win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Union St. Gilloise win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Cercle Brugge 1-1 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 2-0 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Cercle Brugge 0-0 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Union St. Gilloise 1-3 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 19, 2024 | Cercle Brugge 1-2 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Union St. Gilloise 2-3 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise on Dec 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cercle Brugge score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union St. Gilloise score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cercle Brugge sit 13th in Jupiler Pro League (2 points from 3 matches) and Union St. Gilloise sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise?
- The Footlab model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Cercle Brugge.
- Where and when is Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise played?
- Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Breydelstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.