Genk vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for St. Truiden. The most likely score is 1-1. If Genk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Genk vs St. Truiden?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Genk (2,081) and St. Truiden (2,031).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Genk vs St. Truiden
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Genk
4-3-3- 17R. Durosinmi
- 10J. Ito
- 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
- 8B. Heynen
- 4B. Tahirović
- 38D. Heymans
- 20K. Amaro
- 18J. Kayembe
- 44J. Kongolo
- 6M. Smets
- 28L. Kiaba Mounganga
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 9S. Baždar
- 8A. Sissako
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 14R. Merlen
- 71R. Araki
- 38K. Matsuzawa
- 60R. Vanwesemael
- 5S. Taniguchi
- 3T. Hata
- 26V. Musliu
- 16L. Kokubo
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genk have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; St. Truiden have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Genk wins, 2 draws, 0 St. Truiden wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Genk 1-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | St. Truiden 1-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | St. Truiden 0-4 Genk | Cup |
| Dec 1, 2024 | St. Truiden 2-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Genk 3-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 28, 2024 | St. Truiden 1-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Genk score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Genk sit 7th in Jupiler Pro League (12 points from 8 matches) and St. Truiden sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Genk vs St. Truiden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Genk vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for St. Truiden.
- Where and when is Genk vs St. Truiden played?
- Genk vs St. Truiden is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.