Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilassar Mar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Les Fontetes, Cerdanyola del Vallès
The Footlab model makes Cerdanyola del Vallès the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Vilassar Mar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilassar Mar?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Cerdanyola del Vallès (1,696) and Vilassar Mar (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerdanyola del Vallès have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Vilassar Mar have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Can Vidalet(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Peralada(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vic(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tona(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lleida Esportiu(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vilanova(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cerdanyola del Vallès win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Vilassar Mar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès 1-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Vilassar Mar 1-3 Cerdanyola del Vallès | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Vilassar Mar 1-0 Cerdanyola del Vallès | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Cerdanyola del Vallès 0-2 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Vilassar Mar 3-0 Cerdanyola del Vallès | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Cerdanyola del Vallès 2-4 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilassar Mar on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cerdanyola del Vallès score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vilassar Mar score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerdanyola del Vallès | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Vilassar Mar | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerdanyola del Vallès sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (34 points from 34 matches) and Vilassar Mar sit 13th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Vilassar Mar | 34 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 38 | 39 |
| 15 | Cerdanyola del Vallès | 34 | 6 | 17 | 12 | 40 | 53 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilassar Mar?
- The Footlab model makes Cerdanyola del Vallès the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Vilassar Mar.
- Where and when is Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilassar Mar played?
- Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilassar Mar is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Les Fontetes, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.