Atlètic Lleida vs Vilassar Mar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp de futbol Ramon Farrús, Lleida
The Footlab AI model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Vilassar Mar. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlètic Lleida vs Vilassar Mar?
Atlètic Lleida starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,649).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlètic Lleida vs Vilassar Mar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlètic Lleida
4-3-3- 9Soule
- 11M. Sidibe
- 8Samson
- 6Jordi Ortega
- 22Asier
- 14N. Sauret
- 20Joan Campins
- 24A. One
- 3D. Kone
- RRoger Alcalá
- 1P. Torres
Vilassar Mar
Not enough data to predict the Vilassar Mar lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlètic Lleida have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Vilassar Mar have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atlètic Lleida win, 1 draw, 0 Vilassar Mar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Atlètic Lleida 2-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Vilassar Mar 2-2 Atlètic Lleida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Atlètic Lleida vs Vilassar Mar on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atlètic Lleida score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vilassar Mar score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlètic Lleida | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Vilassar Mar | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlètic Lleida sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 6 matches) and Vilassar Mar sit 18th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlètic Lleida | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 18 | Vilassar Mar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Atlètic Lleida vs Vilassar Mar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlètic Lleida vs Vilassar Mar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Vilassar Mar.
- Where and when is Atlètic Lleida vs Vilassar Mar played?
- Atlètic Lleida vs Vilassar Mar is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp de futbol Ramon Farrús, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.