Peralada vs Pobla Mafumet: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Peralada, Peralada
The Footlab model makes Peralada the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Pobla Mafumet. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peralada vs Pobla Mafumet?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Peralada (1,764) and Pobla Mafumet (1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peralada have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Pobla Mafumet have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Montañesa(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Can Vidalet(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vic(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 5, 2024 | Castelldefels(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 1, 2024 | Badalona II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | San Cristóbal(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Grama(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Peralada win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Pobla Mafumet win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Pobla Mafumet 0-1 Peralada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Peralada 2-0 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Peralada 3-1 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Pobla Mafumet 0-1 Peralada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 9, 2022 | Pobla Mafumet 1-1 Peralada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Peralada 0-0 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Pobla Mafumet vs Peralada on Apr 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Peralada score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pobla Mafumet score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peralada | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Pobla Mafumet | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Peralada | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peralada vs Pobla Mafumet?
- The Footlab model makes Peralada the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Pobla Mafumet.
- Where and when is Peralada vs Pobla Mafumet played?
- Peralada vs Pobla Mafumet is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Peralada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.