Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano: prediction and stats
Division Profesional - ClausuraClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Rogelio Silvino Livieres, Asunción
The Footlab model makes Club Guarani the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sportivo Ameliano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Club Guarani (1,741) and Sportivo Ameliano (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Guarani have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sportivo Ameliano have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rubio NU(home) | 2-3 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sportivo Iteno(away) | 1-2 | Copa Paraguay |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nacional Asuncion(away) | 0-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Libertad Asuncion(home) | 2-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo(away) | 1-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Recoleta(home) | 3-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olimpia(away) | 1-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Independiente F.b.c.(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paraguay |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cerro Porteno(home) | 1-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 2 de Mayo(home) | 1-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Club Guarani win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sportivo Ameliano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Club Guarani 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 Club Guarani | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 Club Guarani | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Club Guarani 4-1 Sportivo Ameliano | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| May 18, 2025 | Club Guarani 1-3 Sportivo Ameliano | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 Club Guarani | Division Profesional - Apertura |
Last archived meeting: Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Guarani score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sportivo Ameliano score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Guarani | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Guarani sit 5th in Division Profesional - Clausura (7 points from 5 matches) and Sportivo Ameliano sit 4th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Club Guarani | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano?
- The Footlab model makes Club Guarani the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sportivo Ameliano.
- Where and when is Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano played?
- Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano is played on August 30, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Rogelio Silvino Livieres, in the Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.