Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion: prediction and stats
Division Profesional - ClausuraClausura - 7Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo
The Footlab model makes Nacional Asuncion the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Club Sp. San Lorenzo. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,575).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Sp. San Lorenzo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Nacional Asuncion have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cerro Porteno(away) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 29 de Setiembre(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paraguay |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportivo Luqueno(home) | 0-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sportivo Trinidense(away) | 0-3 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Club Guarani(home) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Benjamín Aceval(away) | 2-0 | Copa Paraguay |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sportivo Trinidense(away) | 1-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Club Guarani(home) | 0-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Deportivo Recoleta(away) | 2-3 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Olimpia(home) | 2-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Nacional Asuncion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-0 Nacional Asuncion | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Nacional Asuncion 1-0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1-1 Nacional Asuncion | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 21, 2020 | Nacional Asuncion 2-0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1-1 Nacional Asuncion | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Dec 9, 2019 | Nacional Asuncion 4-2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo | Division Profesional - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional Asuncion score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Nacional Asuncion | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12th in Division Profesional - Clausura (1 points from 5 matches) and Nacional Asuncion sit 8th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nacional Asuncion | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion?
- The Footlab model makes Nacional Asuncion the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
- Where and when is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion played?
- Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion is played on August 28, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gunther Vogel, in the Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.