Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia: prediction and stats
Division Profesional - ClausuraClausura - 17Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla, Asunción
The Footlab AI model makes Olimpia the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Cerro Porteno. The most likely score is 1-1. If Olimpia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Cerro Porteno (1,851) and Olimpia (1,883).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cerro Porteno
4-1-4-1- 19P. Vegetti
- 5J. Morel
- 7D. Rodríguez
- 32C. Bobadilla
- 40M. Klimowicz
- 31I. Aliseda
- 14L. Quintana
- 13G. Benítez
- 4A. Cañete
- 2F. Domínguez
- 12A. Martínez
Olimpia
4-1-3-2- 9G. Ávalos
- 11S. Ferreira
- 7F. Cardozo
- 5J. Alfaro
- 6R. Ortiz
- 20E. Delmás
- 15M. Gamarra
- 27R. Cáceres
- 22J. Vera
- 23E. Matus
- 1G. Olveira
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 02:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro Porteno have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Olimpia have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano(home) | 2-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo(home) | 2-2 | Copa Paraguay |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportivo Luqueno(away) | 3-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 2 de Mayo(home) | 0-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Rubio NU(home) | 2-1 | Copa Paraguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 2 de Mayo(home) | 3-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rubio NU(away) | 0-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Nacional Asuncion(home) | 1-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Sportivo Luqueno(home) | 1-1 | Copa Paraguay |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Libertad Asuncion(away) | 1-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cerro Porteno win, 1 draw, 4 Olimpia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia 2-1 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Cerro Porteno 1-1 Olimpia | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Olimpia 2-3 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| May 3, 2025 | Cerro Porteno 1-2 Olimpia | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Olimpia 2-1 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Apertura |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro Porteno score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Porteno | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Olimpia | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro Porteno sit 7th in Division Profesional - Clausura (21 points from 15 matches) and Olimpia sit 1st (30 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 10 | 30 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 21 |
A question about Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Olimpia the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Cerro Porteno.
- Where and when is Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia played?
- Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia is played on November 1, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla, in the Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.