Cerro vs Danubio: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 16, 2016 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Danubio?
Danubio won 0-1 on October 16, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 80′J. dos SantosDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Danubio have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2016 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Juventud(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Boston River(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2016 | Penarol(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 17, 2016 | SUD America(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Villa Espanola(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cerro win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2016 | Cerro 1-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Danubio 3-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2015 | Danubio 1-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 11, 2014 | Cerro 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Feb 9, 2014 | Cerro 1-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Danubio 2-1 Cerro | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Danubio | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy