Penarol vs Villa Espanola: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 15, 2016 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Villa Espanola?
Penarol won 2-1 on October 15, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 8′G. RodríguezPenarol
- 75′G. RodríguezPenarol
- 87′Pablo Martín Silva SilvaVilla Espanola
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Villa Espanola have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2016 | Danubio(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Juventud(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Boston River(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Wanderers(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2016 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Danubio(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Espanola score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Villa Espanola | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy