Cesena vs Pisa: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
The Footlab model makes Cesena the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Pisa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cesena vs Pisa?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Cesena (1,802) and Pisa (1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cesena have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Pisa have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forli(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Padova(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus U23(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cesena win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Pisa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Cesena 0-0 Pisa | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Cesena 1-1 Pisa | Serie B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Pisa 3-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Pisa 0-1 Cesena | Coppa Italia |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Pisa 0-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Cesena 2-0 Pisa | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pisa score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Pisa | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cesena sit 10th in Serie B (1 points from 1 matches) and Pisa sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cesena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Pisa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cesena vs Pisa?
- The Footlab model makes Cesena the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Pisa.
- Where and when is Cesena vs Pisa played?
- Cesena vs Pisa is played on December 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.