Cremonese vs Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
The Footlab AI model makes Cremonese the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Ascoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cremonese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cremonese vs Ascoli?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Cremonese (1,910) and Ascoli (1,964).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cremonese vs Ascoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cremonese
4-2-3-1- 90F. Bonazzoli
- 27J. Vandeputte
- 2M. Thorsby
- 18M. Collocolo
- 33A. Grassi
- 71S. Elia
- 15M. Bianchetti
- 5S. Luperto
- 6F. Baschirotto
- 3G. Pezzella
- 1A. Fulignati
Ascoli
4-2-3-1- 35G. Gori
- 62T. Milanese
- 15S. D'Uffizi
- 8G. Corradini
- 4S. Damiani
- 7A. Silipo
- 30M. Curado
- 19A. Guiébré
- 33N. Rizzo
- 14A. Oliveri
- 1S. Vitale
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cremonese have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Ascoli have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Padova(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cremonese win, 4 draws, 1 Ascoli win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024 | Ascoli 0-0 Cremonese | Serie B |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Cremonese 2-2 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Cremonese 0-1 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Ascoli 1-4 Cremonese | Serie B |
| Mar 19, 2021 | Ascoli 0-0 Cremonese | Serie B |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Cremonese 3-3 Ascoli | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Cremonese score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cremonese sit 15th in Serie B (6 points from 6 matches) and Ascoli sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Cremonese vs Ascoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cremonese vs Ascoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cremonese the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Ascoli.
- Where and when is Cremonese vs Ascoli played?
- Cremonese vs Ascoli is played on December 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giovanni Zini, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.