Sudtirol vs Carrarese: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marco Druso, Bozen
The Footlab AI model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Carrarese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sudtirol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,573 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Carrarese?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Sudtirol (1,863) and Carrarese (1,844).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sudtirol vs Carrarese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sudtirol
3-4-2-1- 90A. Okoro
- 5S. Tronchin
- 79S. Molina
- 10Fabio Rispoli
- 14A. Vasic
- 24S. Davì
- 11Vasco Lopes
- 55A. Giorgini
- 4R. Stivanello
- 27G. Stabile
- 22A. Plizzari
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 23M. Braunöder
- 28J. Martini
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudtirol have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Carrarese have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Modena(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sudtirol wins, 3 draws, 1 Carrarese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Carrarese 0-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Sudtirol 1-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Sudtirol 2-2 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Carrarese 2-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Sudtirol score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sudtirol sit 7th in Serie B (13 points from 8 matches) and Carrarese sit 17th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Sudtirol vs Carrarese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Carrarese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Carrarese.
- Where and when is Sudtirol vs Carrarese played?
- Sudtirol vs Carrarese is played on December 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marco Druso, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.