Modena vs Palermo: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
The Footlab AI model makes Modena the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Palermo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Modena wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Modena vs Palermo?
On Elo ratings, Modena has 1,830 points and Palermo 1,948.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Modena vs Palermo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Modena
3-5-2- 10G. Caso
- 70G. Ambrosino
- 16G. Brugman
- 42A. Bianco
- 72G. Olzer
- 8S. Santoro
- 27Paulo Azzi
- 6S. Nador
- 20B. Nieling
- 77D. Tonoli
- 1L. Chichizola
Palermo
4-2-3-1- 20J. Pohjanpalo
- 8J. Segre
- 10F. Ranocchia
- 9D. Vavassori
- 17D. Johnsen
- 5A. Palumbo
- 3T. Augello
- 13M. Bani
- 32P. Ceccaroni
- 84T. Cassandro
- 14M. Fortin
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Modena have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Palermo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 4-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Padova(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Modena wins, 3 draws, 3 Palermo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Modena 0-0 Palermo | Serie B |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Palermo 1-1 Modena | Serie B |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Palermo 2-0 Modena | Serie B |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Modena 2-2 Palermo | Serie B |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Palermo 4-2 Modena | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Modena 0-2 Palermo | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Modena score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Palermo score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modena | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Palermo | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Modena sit 3rd in Serie B (13 points from 6 matches) and Palermo sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
A question about Modena vs Palermo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Modena vs Palermo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Modena the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Palermo.
- Where and when is Modena vs Palermo played?
- Modena vs Palermo is played on December 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alberto Braglia, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.