CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 13Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
The Footlab AI model makes Cruz Azul the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for CF Pachuca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cruz Azul wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate CF Pachuca (1,959) and Cruz Azul (2,039).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1- 23S. Rondón
- 16C. Rivera
- 26Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
- 30S. Rodríguez
- 11O. Idrissi
- 6M. Isaís
- 2S. Barreto
- 15F. Venegas
- 4Eduardo Bauermann
- 14C. Sánchez
- 25C. Moreno
Cruz Azul
5-3-2- 7N. Ibáñez
- 21G. Fernández
- 19C. Rodríguez
- 8A. Palavecino
- 20J. Paradela
- 5J. Orozco
- 4W. Ditta
- 3O. Campos
- 33G. Piovi
- 16J. Márquez
- 23K. Mier
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Pachuca have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Cruz Azul have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlante FC(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Inter Miami(away) | 0-2 | Campeones Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Club America(home) | 4-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CF Pachuca wins, 0 draws, 3 Cruz Azul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Cruz Azul 1-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Sep 13, 2025 | CF Pachuca 0-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Cruz Azul 2-1 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Sep 29, 2024 | CF Pachuca 2-4 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Cruz Azul 0-1 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2023 | CF Pachuca 1-0 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Cruz Azul vs CF Pachuca on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CF Pachuca score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cruz Azul score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Pachuca | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cruz Azul | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Pachuca sit 11th in Liga MX (12 points from 10 matches) and Cruz Azul sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
A question about CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cruz Azul the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for CF Pachuca.
- Where and when is CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul played?
- CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul is played on October 22, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Hidalgo, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.