Puebla vs Monterrey: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 13Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
The Footlab AI model makes Monterrey the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Puebla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monterrey wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puebla vs Monterrey?
Monterrey starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Puebla vs Monterrey
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Puebla
4-2-3-1- 19I. Maestro Puch
- 27B. Garnica
- 24A. Organista
- 22C. Baltazar
- 21S. Sanabria
- 10M. Tomás
- 5F. Almada
- 7F. Monárrez
- 4J. Vargas
- 20J. Pachuca
- 28R. Gutiérrez
Monterrey
4-2-3-1- 99H. Cuypers
- 17J. Corona
- 8Óliver Torres
- 10L. Orellano
- 18Cesar Garza Cantu
- 7L. Ocampos
- 2R. Chávez
- 13C. Salcedo
- 3G. Arteaga
- 19A. Aceves
- 1E. Andrada
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Monterrey have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Necaxa(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlante FC(away) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Puebla wins, 2 draws, 4 Monterrey wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Monterrey 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Puebla 2-4 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Monterrey 1-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Puebla 1-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Monterrey 2-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Puebla 1-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla sit 9th in Liga MX (14 points from 10 matches) and Monterrey sit 10th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Puebla | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Puebla vs Monterrey?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puebla vs Monterrey?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monterrey the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Puebla.
- Where and when is Puebla vs Monterrey played?
- Puebla vs Monterrey is played on October 22, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.