Cham vs Ingolstadt II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kappenberger Sportzentrum, Cham
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Ingolstadt II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cham vs Ingolstadt II?
Cham starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,886 vs 1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cham have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Ingolstadt II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gebenbach(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stadeln(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cham win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Ingolstadt II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Cham 0-3 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Ingolstadt II 5-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 17, 2025 | Cham 3-2 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Ingolstadt II 1-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 18, 2024 | Cham 2-2 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Ingolstadt II 0-0 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cham | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cham sit 2nd in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (62 points from 33 matches) and Ingolstadt II sit 7th (48 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cham | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 62 |
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cham vs Ingolstadt II?
- The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Ingolstadt II.
- Where and when is Cham vs Ingolstadt II played?
- Cham vs Ingolstadt II is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kappenberger Sportzentrum, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 2027DJK BambergvsNordlingen
- Apr 9, 2027KornburgvsJahn Regensburg II
- Apr 9, 2027WeidenvsStadeln
- Apr 10, 2027Eintracht BambergvsNeudrossenfeld
- Apr 10, 2027Bayern HofvsGebenbach
- Apr 10, 2027AmmerthalvsWürzburger FV
- Apr 10, 2027ASV NeumarktvsViktoria Aschaffenburg
- Apr 10, 2027GroßbardorfvsFortuna Regensburg