Where and when is Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia played?

Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Changchun's People Stadium, in the League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Changchun's People Stadium, Changchun

Changchun Yatai

Meizhou Kejia

The Footlab model makes Changchun Yatai the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Meizhou Kejia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Changchun Yatai (1,382) and Meizhou Kejia (1,306).

Changchun Yatai win56 %

Draw22 %

Meizhou Kejia win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Changchun Yatai have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Meizhou Kejia have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Changchun Yatai
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Dongguan United(home)	6-0	League One
Aug 14, 2026	Shaanxi Union(away)	1-2	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Suzhou Dongwu(away)	1-2	League One
Aug 2, 2026	Hebei Kungfu(home)	2-2	League One
Jul 25, 2026	Nanjing City(home)	2-1	League One

Meizhou Kejia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Guangzhou E-Power(home)	1-5	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Guangxi Hengchen(away)	0-1	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Dongguan United(home)	3-2	League One
Aug 2, 2026	Suzhou Dongwu(away)	0-1	League One
Jul 26, 2026	Yanbian Longding(away)	1-2	League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Changchun Yatai win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Meizhou Kejia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 5, 2026	Meizhou Kejia 1-3 Changchun Yatai	League One
Aug 16, 2025	Changchun Yatai 1-0 Meizhou Kejia	Super League
Apr 11, 2025	Meizhou Kejia 1-3 Changchun Yatai	Super League
Aug 17, 2024	Meizhou Kejia 2-1 Changchun Yatai	Super League
Apr 26, 2024	Changchun Yatai 0-1 Meizhou Kejia	Super League
Aug 8, 2023	Meizhou Kejia 4-2 Changchun Yatai	Super League

Last archived meeting: Meizhou Kejia vs Changchun Yatai on Jul 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Changchun Yatai score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Meizhou Kejia score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Changchun Yatai	1.8	2.0	1	13/15	14/15
Meizhou Kejia	1.1	2.0	2	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Changchun Yatai sit 9th in League One (22 points from 19 matches) and Meizhou Kejia sit 15th (11 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Changchun Yatai	19	8	2	9	33	34	22
15	Meizhou Kejia	20	6	2	12	20	40	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia?: The Footlab model makes Changchun Yatai the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Meizhou Kejia.
Where and when is Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia played?: Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Changchun's People Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.