Where and when is Dongguan United vs Nanjing City played?

Dongguan United vs Nanjing City is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dongguan United vs Nanjing City: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)

Dongguan United

Nanjing City

The Footlab model makes Nanjing City the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Dongguan United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dongguan United vs Nanjing City?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Dongguan United (1,221) and Nanjing City (1,316).

Dongguan United win29 %

Draw26 %

Nanjing City win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dongguan United have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Nanjing City have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dongguan United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Changchun Yatai(away)	0-6	League One
Aug 16, 2026	Hebei Kungfu(home)	1-2	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Meizhou Kejia(away)	2-3	League One
Aug 1, 2026	Guangzhou E-Power(away)	1-1	League One
Jul 25, 2026	Wuxi Wugou(home)	0-2	League One

Nanjing City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Shenzhen Juniors(away)	1-3	League One
Aug 16, 2026	Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)	1-1	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Nantong Zhiyun(home)	1-1	League One
Aug 1, 2026	Yanbian Longding(away)	1-1	League One
Jul 25, 2026	Changchun Yatai(away)	1-2	League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dongguan United win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Nanjing City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 5, 2026	Nanjing City 3-1 Dongguan United	League One
Sep 21, 2025	Nanjing City 1-1 Dongguan United	League One
May 11, 2025	Dongguan United 1-3 Nanjing City	League One
Aug 31, 2024	Dongguan United 0-0 Nanjing City	League One
Apr 13, 2024	Nanjing City 0-0 Dongguan United	League One
Aug 6, 2023	Nanjing City 2-1 Dongguan United	League One

Last archived meeting: Nanjing City vs Dongguan United on Jul 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dongguan United score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nanjing City score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dongguan United	0.9	2.3	0	9/15	8/15
Nanjing City	1.0	1.2	3	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dongguan United sit 16th in League One (11 points from 20 matches) and Nanjing City sit 12th (21 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Nanjing City	20	5	6	9	19	24	21
16	Dongguan United	20	2	5	13	20	43	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dongguan United vs Nanjing City?: The Footlab model makes Nanjing City the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Dongguan United.
Where and when is Dongguan United vs Nanjing City played?: Dongguan United vs Nanjing City is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.