Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Hengchen: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Dalian Huayi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Guangxi Hengchen starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,514 vs 1,359).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dalian Huayi have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Guangxi Hengchen have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wuxi Wugou(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(home) | 3-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(away) | 4-2 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 4-4 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Dalian Huayi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guangxi Hengchen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen 3-1 Dalian Huayi | League One |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Guangxi Hengchen 0-2 Dalian Huayi | League Two |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Dalian Huayi 1-0 Guangxi Hengchen | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Guangxi Hengchen vs Dalian Huayi on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dalian Huayi score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guangxi Hengchen score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian Huayi | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dalian Huayi sit 11th in League One (21 points from 19 matches) and Guangxi Hengchen sit 5th (33 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Guangxi Hengchen | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 33 |
| 11 | Dalian Huayi | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Hengchen?
- The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Dalian Huayi.
- Where and when is Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Hengchen played?
- Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Hengchen is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC), in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Changchun YataivsMeizhou Kejia
- Oct 24, 2026Nantong ZhiyunvsShenzhen Juniors
- Oct 24, 2026Dongguan UnitedvsNanjing City
- Oct 24, 2026Hebei KungfuvsNingbo Professional
- Oct 25, 2026Wuxi WugouvsShaanxi Union
- Oct 25, 2026Heilongjiang Lava SpringvsYanbian Longding
- Oct 25, 2026Guangzhou E-PowervsSuzhou Dongwu