Changwon City vs Gangneung City: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Changwon Civil Stadium, Changwon
The Footlab model makes Changwon City the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Gangneung City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Changwon City vs Gangneung City?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Changwon City (1,663) and Gangneung City (1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Changwon City have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Gangneung City have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busan Transportation(away) | 3-4 | K3 League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors II(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Gimhae City(home) | 1-5 | FA Cup |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Chuncheon(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Geumsan Insam(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chuncheon(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Paju Citizen(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Mokpo City(away) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Changwon City win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gangneung City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Gangneung City 0-1 Changwon City | K3 League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Changwon City 2-1 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| May 18, 2025 | Gangneung City 1-0 Changwon City | K3 League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Gangneung City 1-0 Changwon City | K3 League |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Changwon City 2-1 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| Jul 14, 2023 | Changwon City 1-2 Gangneung City | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gangneung City vs Changwon City on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Changwon City score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gangneung City score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changwon City | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Gangneung City | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Changwon City sit 6th in K3 League (26 points from 19 matches) and Gangneung City sit 9th (23 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Changwon City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Changwon City | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 26 |
| 7 | Gangneung City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 19 |
| 9 | Gangneung City | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Changwon City vs Gangneung City?
- The Footlab model makes Changwon City the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Gangneung City.
- Where and when is Changwon City vs Gangneung City played?
- Changwon City vs Gangneung City is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Changwon Civil Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.