Gyeongju HNP vs Chuncheon: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Gyeongju Citizen Stadium, Gyeongju
The Footlab model makes Gyeongju HNP the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Chuncheon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gyeongju HNP vs Chuncheon?
Gyeongju HNP starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gyeongju HNP have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Chuncheon have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yangpyeong(away) | 3-3 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Cheongju(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(away) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gangneung City(away) | 0-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(home) | 2-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Changwon City(away) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Yangpyeong(home) | 3-3 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gyeongju HNP win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Chuncheon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Chuncheon 2-2 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Gyeongju HNP 0-0 Chuncheon | K3 League |
| May 24, 2025 | Chuncheon 1-0 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Gyeongju HNP 2-0 Chuncheon | K3 League |
| May 11, 2024 | Chuncheon 3-2 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Chuncheon 0-0 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Chuncheon vs Gyeongju HNP on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gyeongju HNP score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chuncheon score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyeongju HNP | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chuncheon | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gyeongju HNP sit 8th in K3 League (23 points from 19 matches) and Chuncheon sit 11th (20 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gyeongju HNP | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 23 |
| 9 | Chuncheon | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 15 |
| 10 | Gyeongju HNP | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 15 |
| 11 | Chuncheon | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gyeongju HNP vs Chuncheon?
- The Footlab model makes Gyeongju HNP the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Chuncheon.
- Where and when is Gyeongju HNP vs Chuncheon played?
- Gyeongju HNP vs Chuncheon is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Gyeongju Citizen Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.