Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Pocheon Stadium, Pocheon
The Footlab AI model makes Pocheon the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Ulsan Citizen. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,640 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen?
Pocheon starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,732 vs 1,538).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pocheon
Not enough data to predict the Pocheon lineup.
Ulsan Citizen
Not enough data to predict the Ulsan Citizen lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pocheon have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Ulsan Citizen have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Changwon City(away) | 3-1 | K3 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chuncheon(home) | 0-0 | K3 League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Yangpyeong(away) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(away) | 2-3 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Yangpyeong(away) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(home) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(away) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP(home) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Busan Transportation(home) | 2-1 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pocheon wins, 2 draws, 1 Ulsan Citizen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Pocheon | K3 League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Pocheon 0-0 Ulsan Citizen | K3 League |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Ulsan Citizen 1-2 Pocheon | K3 League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Pocheon 2-1 Ulsan Citizen | K3 League |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Ulsan Citizen 2-2 Pocheon | K3 League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Pocheon 2-3 Ulsan Citizen | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pocheon score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ulsan Citizen score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocheon | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Ulsan Citizen | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pocheon sit 2nd in K3 League (49 points from 24 matches) and Ulsan Citizen sit 10th (28 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pocheon | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 41 | 20 | 49 |
| 10 | Ulsan Citizen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 28 | 28 |
A question about Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pocheon the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Ulsan Citizen.
- Where and when is Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen played?
- Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Pocheon Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.