Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Yangpyeong Sports Complex, Yangpyeong
The Footlab model makes Dangjin Citizen the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Yangpyeong. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Yangpyeong (1,589) and Dangjin Citizen (1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yangpyeong have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Dangjin Citizen have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP(home) | 3-3 | K3 League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Busan Transportation(home) | 2-4 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Hwaseong(away) | 3-4 | FA Cup |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors II(home) | 5-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Ulsan FC(away) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mokpo City(home) | 6-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors II(home) | 2-0 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Yangpyeong win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dangjin Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen 3-1 Yangpyeong | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Dangjin Citizen vs Yangpyeong on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yangpyeong score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dangjin Citizen score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yangpyeong | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dangjin Citizen | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yangpyeong sit 12th in K3 League (17 points from 19 matches) and Dangjin Citizen sit 5th (28 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dangjin Citizen | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 28 |
| 8 | Dangjin Citizen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
| 12 | Yangpyeong | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 17 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Dangjin Citizen the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Yangpyeong.
- Where and when is Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen played?
- Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Yangpyeong Sports Complex, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.