Changwon City vs Ulsan Citizen: result 1-0 and analysis
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on March 13, 2021 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Changwon Football Center, Changwon
Full time
What was the result of Changwon City vs Ulsan Citizen?
Changwon City won 1-0 on March 13, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 45′Yang Joon-MoChangwon City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Changwon City have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Ulsan Citizen have 2, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | Pocheon(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Jeonju(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Cheonan City(away) | 3-0 | K3 League |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Pyeongtaek Citizen(away) | 3-1 | K3 League |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Chuncheon(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | Siheung Citizen(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 1, 2020 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 6, 2020 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 9, 2020 | Jaemigseu(home) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Yonsei University(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Changwon City score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ulsan Citizen score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changwon City | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Ulsan Citizen | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Changwon City sit 6th in K3 League (26 points from 19 matches) and Ulsan Citizen sit 10th (22 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Changwon City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Changwon City | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 26 |
| 10 | Ulsan Citizen | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 22 |
| 11 | Ulsan Citizen | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy