Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Chanthaburi Stadium, Chanthaburi
The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
Nakhon Ratchasima FC starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,432).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chanthaburi have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Nakhon Si Thammarat(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sisaket United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Chanthaburi win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Chanthaburi 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-0 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 5-0 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Chanthaburi 1-2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC on Apr 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Chanthaburi score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanthaburi | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 46 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
- The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
- Where and when is Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
- Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on December 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Chanthaburi Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 19, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Dec 19, 2026Nakhon PathomvsKhon Kaen United
- Dec 19, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsEsan Pattaya
- Dec 20, 2026Police TerovsPhrae United
- Dec 20, 2026SatunvsChainat
- Dec 20, 2026UttaraditvsKanchanaburi
- Dec 21, 2026Kasetsart FCvsMuangthong United