Police Tero vs Phrae United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab AI model makes Phrae United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Phrae United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police Tero vs Phrae United?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,416) and Phrae United (1,446).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Police Tero vs Phrae United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Police Tero
4-3-3- 30Ahmed Awad Mohammad
- 11A. Kelani Essadi
- 9Fernando Viana
- 8W. Motim
- 10S. Namphueng
- 41S. Tudsanai
- 37S. Kesi
- 6P. Sienkrthok
- 14T. Thanachartkun
- 91P. Boers
- 1S. Khumpiam
Phrae United
4-3-3- 10Wellington Smith
- 33Matheus Souza
- 19A. Phiraban
- 7T. Shimizu
- 37E. Harnphanitkit
- 24S. Sangwong
- 4L. Sutthasen
- 39W. Un Art
- 27A. Promkun
- 17R. Sruamprakum
- 25S. Srinothai
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Phrae United have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Uttaradit(away) | 0-4 | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 0-6 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Surin(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 5-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-0 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Police Tero wins, 1 draw, 1 Phrae United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero 3-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Phrae United 2-2 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Police Tero 2-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Phrae United 4-2 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Police Tero vs Phrae United on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Police Tero score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police Tero | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police Tero sit 14th in Thai League 2 (10 points from 10 matches) and Phrae United sit 8th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Phrae United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 14 | Police Tero | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Police Tero vs Phrae United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Phrae United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Phrae United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Police Tero.
- Where and when is Police Tero vs Phrae United played?
- Police Tero vs Phrae United is played on December 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsSongkhla
- Dec 19, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Dec 19, 2026Nakhon PathomvsKhon Kaen United
- Dec 19, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsEsan Pattaya
- Dec 20, 2026ChanthaburivsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Dec 20, 2026SatunvsChainat
- Dec 20, 2026UttaraditvsKanchanaburi
- Dec 21, 2026Kasetsart FCvsMuangthong United