Match

Police Tero vs Phrae United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok

Police TeroPhrae United

The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Phrae United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Police Tero vs Phrae United?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Phrae United (1,445).

Police Tero win52 %
Draw25 %
Phrae United win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Phrae United have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-3Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Chanthaburi(away)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Phrae United(home)3-1Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Chainat(away)1-2Thai League 2
Phrae United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Police Tero(away)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)2-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Songkhla(away)0-0Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Police Tero win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Phrae United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Police Tero 3-1 Phrae UnitedThai League 2
Dec 14, 2025Phrae United 2-2 Police TeroThai League 2
Feb 22, 2025Police Tero 2-1 Phrae UnitedThai League 2
Oct 27, 2024Phrae United 4-2 Police TeroThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Police Tero vs Phrae United on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Police Tero1.21.9112/159/15
Phrae United0.91.847/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Police Tero sit 5th in Thai League 2 (53 points from 34 matches) and Phrae United sit 11th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Police Tero3415811504453
11Phrae United34101311405043

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Phrae United?
The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Phrae United.
Where and when is Police Tero vs Phrae United played?
Police Tero vs Phrae United is played on December 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Police Tero and Phrae United

Ready to know everything about football?