Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Esan Pattaya played?

Mahasarakham United vs Esan Pattaya is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mahasarakham United vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham

Mahasarakham United

Esan Pattaya

The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Esan Pattaya?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).

Mahasarakham United win46 %

Draw28 %

Esan Pattaya win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mahasarakham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Khon Kaen United(home)	2-2	Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026	Rasi Salai United(away)	0-3	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Nakhon Pathom(home)	0-2	Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026	Trat FC(away)	0-2	Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026	BG Pathum United(away)	0-3	League Cup

Esan Pattaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Chainat(away)	2-1	Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026	Sisaket United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026	Phrae United(away)	0-0	Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026	Kasetsart FC(home)	3-0	Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)	1-1	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Mahasarakham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Esan Pattaya win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 4, 2026	Mahasarakham United 1-0 Esan Pattaya	Thai League 2
Nov 8, 2025	Esan Pattaya 2-3 Mahasarakham United	Thai League 2
Jan 19, 2025	Mahasarakham United 1-2 Esan Pattaya	Thai League 2
Aug 31, 2024	Esan Pattaya 1-1 Mahasarakham United	Thai League 2

Last archived meeting: Mahasarakham United vs Esan Pattaya on Mar 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mahasarakham United	1.2	1.1	6	4/15	8/15
Esan Pattaya	1.5	1.1	5	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mahasarakham United sit 8th in Thai League 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Esan Pattaya sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Mahasarakham United	34	12	9	13	47	42	45
12	Esan Pattaya	34	10	12	12	45	42	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Esan Pattaya?: The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Esan Pattaya.
Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Esan Pattaya played?: Mahasarakham United vs Esan Pattaya is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.