Satun vs Chainat: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Satun Municipal Stadium, Satun
The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Satun vs Chainat?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Satun (1,421) and Chainat (1,425).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Satun have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Muang Trang United(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Satun vs Chainat?
- The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chainat.
- Where and when is Satun vs Chainat played?
- Satun vs Chainat is played on December 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsSongkhla
- Dec 19, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Dec 19, 2026Nakhon PathomvsKhon Kaen United
- Dec 19, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsEsan Pattaya
- Dec 20, 2026Police TerovsPhrae United
- Dec 20, 2026ChanthaburivsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Dec 20, 2026UttaraditvsKanchanaburi
- Dec 21, 2026Kasetsart FCvsMuangthong United