Match

Satun vs Chainat: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Satun Municipal Stadium, Satun

SatunChainat

The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Satun vs Chainat?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Satun (1,421) and Chainat (1,425).

Satun win47 %
Draw26 %
Chainat win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Satun have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Satun
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 28, 2025Lamphun Warrior(home)0-2League Cup
Sep 1, 2024Muang Trang United(home)1-1League Cup
Mar 13, 2024Muangthong United(home)1-3League Cup
Dec 6, 2023Nakhon Pathom(home)2-0League Cup
Oct 25, 2023Kanchanaburi(home)2-1League Cup
Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2

How many goals should we expect?

Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Satun1.71.223/63/6
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Chainat34121012504646

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Satun vs Chainat?
The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chainat.
Where and when is Satun vs Chainat played?
Satun vs Chainat is played on December 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Satun and Chainat

Ready to know everything about football?