Satun vs Chainat: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Satun Municipal Stadium, Satun
The Footlab AI model makes Satun the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1. If Satun wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Satun vs Chainat?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Satun (1,372) and Chainat (1,359).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Satun vs Chainat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Satun
4-3-3- 93Douglas Starnley Ferreira
- 44Kittiphong Khetpara
- 27Ajayi Opeyemi Korede
- 7C. Nakkaree
- 11E. Zaerko
- 77W. Nakkari
- 34Kittikon Khetpara
- 35N. Hehna
- 39W. Donmngkan
- 16C. Yara
- 38W. Panboot
Chainat
4-3-3- 20A. Ayeh
- 18K. Boonma
- 11S. Al Jaberi
- 22N. Kaewklang
- 10E. Mbarga
- 7M. Kongjumpa
- 17F. Khadearee
- 5Young-Jae Yoo
- 4T. Kiatlerttham
- 24A. Saengdaeng
- 19K. Chaodon
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Satun have 6 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Chainat have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Uttaradit(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 3-4 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Songkhla(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Muang Loei United(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Satun score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 12; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satun | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/12 | 7/12 |
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Satun sit 4th in Thai League 2 (10 points from 6 matches) and Chainat sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Satun | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | Chainat | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Satun vs Chainat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Satun vs Chainat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Satun the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Chainat.
- Where and when is Satun vs Chainat played?
- Satun vs Chainat is played on December 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsSongkhla
- Dec 19, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Dec 19, 2026Nakhon PathomvsKhon Kaen United
- Dec 19, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsEsan Pattaya
- Dec 20, 2026Police TerovsPhrae United
- Dec 20, 2026ChanthaburivsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Dec 20, 2026UttaraditvsKanchanaburi
- Dec 21, 2026Kasetsart FCvsMuangthong United