Charleroi vs Standard Liege: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Standard Liege. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charleroi vs Standard Liege?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Charleroi (1,987) and Standard Liege (1,941).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charleroi have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Standard Liege have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Charleroi win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Standard Liege win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Standard Liege 0-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Charleroi 1-2 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Charleroi 2-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Standard Liege 3-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 4, 2025 | Standard Liege 0-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Charleroi 1-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liege vs Charleroi on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charleroi score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Standard Liege score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Standard Liege | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charleroi sit 2nd in Jupiler Pro League (9 points from 3 matches) and Standard Liege sit 6th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charleroi vs Standard Liege?
- The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Standard Liege.
- Where and when is Charleroi vs Standard Liege played?
- Charleroi vs Standard Liege is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.