Charleroi vs Standard Liege: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Standard Liege. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charleroi wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,834 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charleroi vs Standard Liege?
On Elo ratings, Charleroi has 2,077 points and Standard Liege 1,982.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Charleroi vs Standard Liege
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Charleroi
4-2-3-1- 21A. Scheidler
- 18Y. Khalifi
- 6A. Boukamir
- 14P. Pflücke
- 8J. Romsaas
- 20F. Situmona Mbemba
- 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
- 24M. Nzita
- 95C. Keita
- 4A. Ousou
- 30M. Koné
Standard Liege
4-3-3- 11A. Abid
- 10D. Eckert Ayensa
- 17Bernard Nguene
- 94C. Nielsen
- 22A. Trouillet
- 84R. Touzghar
- 20I. Karamoko
- 25I. Hautekiet
- 13M. Fossey
- 3G. Mortensen
- 1M. Epolo
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charleroi have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Standard Liege have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Dender(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Gent(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Charleroi wins, 0 draws, 2 Standard Liege wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Standard Liege 0-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 23, 2026 | Standard Liege 0-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Charleroi 1-2 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Charleroi 2-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Standard Liege 3-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 4, 2025 | Standard Liege 0-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liege vs Charleroi on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charleroi score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Standard Liege score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Standard Liege | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charleroi sit 3rd in Jupiler Pro League (21 points from 8 matches) and Standard Liege sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Charleroi vs Standard Liege?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charleroi vs Standard Liege?
- The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Standard Liege.
- Where and when is Charleroi vs Standard Liege played?
- Charleroi vs Standard Liege is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.