Standard Liege vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Standard Liege. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charleroi wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Standard Liege (1,975) and Charleroi (2,050).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Standard Liege vs Charleroi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Standard Liege
4-3-3- 11A. Abid
- 10D. Eckert Ayensa
- 17Bernard Nguene
- 94C. Nielsen
- 22A. Trouillet
- 84R. Touzghar
- 20I. Karamoko
- 25I. Hautekiet
- 13M. Fossey
- 18H. Lawrence
- 1M. Epolo
Charleroi
4-2-3-1- 21A. Scheidler
- 18Y. Khalifi
- 6A. Boukamir
- 14P. Pflücke
- 8J. Romsaas
- 20F. Situmona Mbemba
- 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
- 24M. Nzita
- 95C. Keita
- 4A. Ousou
- 30M. Koné
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Standard Liege have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Charleroi have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Gent(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Standard Liege wins, 0 draws, 4 Charleroi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Standard Liege 0-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Charleroi 1-2 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Charleroi 2-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Standard Liege 3-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 4, 2025 | Standard Liege 0-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Charleroi 1-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liege vs Charleroi on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Standard Liege score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Standard Liege sit 7th in Jupiler Pro League (11 points from 7 matches) and Charleroi sit 4th (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Standard Liege.
- Where and when is Standard Liege vs Charleroi played?
- Standard Liege vs Charleroi is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.