Standard Liege vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Standard Liege. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Standard Liege (1,941) and Charleroi (1,988).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Standard Liege have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Charleroi have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Standard Liege win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Charleroi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Standard Liege 0-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Charleroi 1-2 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Charleroi 2-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Standard Liege 3-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 4, 2025 | Standard Liege 0-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Charleroi 1-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liege vs Charleroi on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Standard Liege score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Standard Liege sit 6th in Jupiler Pro League (5 points from 3 matches) and Charleroi sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Standard Liege.
- Where and when is Standard Liege vs Charleroi played?
- Standard Liege vs Charleroi is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.