Where and when is Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay played?

Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Patriots Point, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Patriots Point, Mount Pleasant, South Carolina

Charleston Battery

Monterey Bay

The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Monterey Bay. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay?

Charleston Battery starts as the favourite with a 273-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,578).

Charleston Battery win81 %

Draw13 %

Monterey Bay win6 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charleston Battery have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Monterey Bay have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Charleston Battery
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Miami FC(home)	5-0	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away)	1-3	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Loudoun United(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Brooklyn(home)	5-0	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	Colorado Springs(away)	1-2	USL Championship

Monterey Bay
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Rhode Island(away)	1-3	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Oakland Roots(away)	1-1	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	New Mexico United(home)	2-5	USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Lexington(away)	2-3	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Charleston Battery win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Monterey Bay win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 30, 2024	Monterey Bay 0-0 Charleston Battery	USL Championship
May 20, 2023	Charleston Battery 1-0 Monterey Bay	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Monterey Bay vs Charleston Battery on May 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Charleston Battery score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Monterey Bay score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Charleston Battery	2.3	1.1	5	8/15	9/15
Monterey Bay	1.4	1.7	3	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Charleston Battery sit 4th in USL Championship (20 points from 12 matches) and Monterey Bay sit 12th (11 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Charleston Battery	21	11	3	7	44	27	36
4	Charleston Battery	12	6	2	4	21	16	20
12	Monterey Bay	13	3	2	8	13	22	11
12	Monterey Bay	22	4	4	14	23	40	16

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay?: The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Monterey Bay.
Where and when is Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay played?: Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Patriots Point, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.