Where and when is Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne played?

Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at American Legion Memorial Stadium, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

Charlotte Independence

Fort Wayne

The Footlab model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Fort Wayne. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Charlotte Independence (1,779) and Fort Wayne (1,720).

Charlotte Independence win55 %

Draw22 %

Fort Wayne win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte Independence have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Fort Wayne have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Charlotte Independence
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	3-1	USL League One
Aug 12, 2026	Hartford Athletic(home)	2-4	USL League One Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	1-0	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	One Knoxville(home)	3-1	USL League One

Fort Wayne
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(home)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 9, 2026	Alta(away)	0-3	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Union Omaha(home)	0-2	USL League One
Jul 26, 2026	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-3	USL League One
Jul 18, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	3-0	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Charlotte Independence win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fort Wayne win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Fort Wayne 2-2 Charlotte Independence	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Charlotte Independence score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fort Wayne score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Charlotte Independence	2.1	1.5	3	11/15	10/15
Fort Wayne	1.3	1.5	4	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Charlotte Independence sit 2nd in USL League One (43 points from 21 matches) and Fort Wayne sit 10th (27 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Charlotte Independence	21	13	4	4	47	29	43
10	Fort Wayne	20	7	6	7	26	24	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?: The Footlab model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Fort Wayne.
Where and when is Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne played?: Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at American Legion Memorial Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.