Charlotte Independence vs Naples: prediction and stats
USL League OneQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 2, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
The Footlab AI model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Naples. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,688 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Charlotte Independence starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,759).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Charlotte Independence vs Naples
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Charlotte Independence
4-3-3- 10Jon Bakero
- 26S. Marou
- 7P. Saydee
- 14R. Manin
- 6J. Fuchs
- 8C. Jaime
- 17C. Dimick
- 3J. Skinner
- 5J. Romero
- 4S. Coulibaly
- 28M. Levy
Naples
4-3-3- 9R. Miglietti
- 45N. Likulia
- 7T. Gray
- 21Torrellas
- 6O. Ciss
- 11C. Garcia
- 4H. Uderitz
- 3J. Cisneros
- 20J. Yearwood
- 14K. O'Connor
- 1E. Delgado
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 02:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte Independence have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Naples have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(away) | 1-4 | USL League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(away) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sarasota Paradise(away) | 3-2 | USL League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fort Wayne(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(home) | 1-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Sarasota Paradise(away) | 3-2 | USL League One |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Corpus Christi(away) | 1-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Richmond Kickers(home) | 2-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 2-1 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Charlotte Independence wins, 0 draws, 2 Naples wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Charlotte Independence 4-3 Naples | USL League One |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Naples 1-5 Charlotte Independence | USL League One |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Naples 2-0 Charlotte Independence | USL League One |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Charlotte Independence 0-1 Naples | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Charlotte Independence vs Naples on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charlotte Independence score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Naples score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Independence | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Naples | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlotte Independence sit 1st in USL League One (66 points from 32 matches) and Naples sit 8th (46 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 74 | 46 | 66 |
| 8 | Naples | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 39 | 46 | 46 |
A question about Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
- The Footlab AI model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Naples.
- Where and when is Charlotte Independence vs Naples played?
- Charlotte Independence vs Naples is played on November 2, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at American Legion Memorial Stadium, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.